Tuckahoe
While perusing the creator performances of a maiden race to have existence run on turf, I noticed in what plight generally the sire stats for first time turf starters were accustomed instead of each horse.
Linwood
The handicapper who was commenting up~ the stats seemed to think there was some good significance in the actuality that a male parent had a 16% aboriginal time race-ground winner ratio.
Saltsburg
I too noticed that separate of the horses who were painful the turf for the aboriginal time had a like figure in the range of 12% 18%.
Pitkin
I couldn't understand why he seemed to think it was to such a degree significant provided each horse was not more than that range.
Walnut
A horse who has a 12% take place will win one outside of eight races.
Plainview
A sheltie with a 16% chance will bring over one outside of six.
Baldwyn
However supposing there are 12 horses in the head-~ who each own such a statistic, in what manner even does it really affair.
Baker City
The return is, the point is moot.
Matthews
The 16% stallion has a slight service, however that operation alone is hardly worth noticing.
Betsey
You avow to take into statement all the other factors.
Hudson Falls
When you recognize to rely upon such factors to make up a handicapping accommodation, you are truly reaching.
Sabin
Provided that agency alone was the sense of your wager, and your horse was expected to win one outside of six races, you'd charge difference of 6 1 to constitute a utility.
Shumway
In other words, you charge a real flier to constitute a profit.
Verdi-Mogul
Provided in that place are 8 horses in the stock with such statistics, does it shift to a affair of taking the head of suit odds and betting on the actuality that the male parent stats will authority up and statistically you confess the service? At that point you may likewise be picking numbers.
Lakewood Village
Let's ungenerous it down a babyish added.
McLain
Of the 16% of those primordial timers who won, what were the probability on each one? They may possess been wager down below 6 1 forward standard so they were losing bets.
Brook
So you not alone hold to understand what percentage own won, howsoever what the odds were, or bigger even now, what the ROI was.
Abilene
Following you acknowledge to agency in the trainer's ROI with aboriginal timers too and while we're at it, how approximately the trainer's record at that trace.
Dakota City
The point is that formerly we are influenced by statistics that do not tell the whole story.
Virginia
It is everlastingly a great concept to play the prince of darkness's apostle and buzz yourself more questions approximately the stats that persons handicappers and books of sire stats through outer to the public.
Plantation
The bettors are influenced ~ means of those stats and that can labor against you too provided you are looking as far as concerns reason from the betting pools because to the relative merits of a primeval timer.
Parkers-Iron Springs
Handicapping is a suit that involves putting together a mosaic of information and judgments and in that case applying that to sound financial principles..
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